The Opportunity Grid
By Bill Birnbaum, CMC
 
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Of the various business models I use at strategy sessions, the “Opportunity Grid” is the most popular with my clients. The model is actually a modification of George Steiner’s “Product-Market Planning Model.” Steiner, professor at UCLA, developed his model specifically for products. But it occurred to me that those of us in service industries could easily adapt the model. Thus, while Steiner’s model labels the horizontal axis “Products,” mine labels it “Products or Services.”

Here’s how the model works… We divide the horizontal axis, “Products / Services,” into three categories - current, related, and unrelated. So the three resultant columns represent current products or services, related products or services, and unrelated products or services.

The vertical axis represents the markets for the company’s products or services. Similarly, we also divide the market into the same three categories - current, related and unrelated. Thus the three resultant rows represent current markets, related markets and unrelated markets.

Right now - today - every organization sells its current products or services to its current markets (or, in a narrower sense, to its current customers). This means that, in the present, every organization operates in the model’s upper left box. Only in the future can an organization venture out into the world of new product or service, or new markets. Thus, only in the future can a company depart from the model’s upper, left box.

As strategy is about choice, every company’s management team gets to decide whether to venture out along the path of product or service development (moving to the right in the model) or market development (moving down in the model). Their choice would logically be based upon their preparedness for developing new products or services as compared to their preparedness for developing new markets. Their decision would thus be based on their company’s internal strengths.

Were the management team to decide on product / service development, they’d next have to choose just how far to the right they’d move - either into the box representing related products or services, or into the box representing unrelated products or services. What delineates related products or services from new products and services? Great question! In fact, it is the exploration of that very question which results in the management team’s deeper understanding of their organization and of its fundamental strengths and weaknesses.

Here’s an Example

As an example, a client of ours develops and markets software for the hospitality industry. When you walk into a hotel and step up to the front desk, the desk clerk hammers on a computer keyboard and stares into the computer screen searching for a record of your reservation. The software which the desk clerk thus uses is appropriately called, “front office software.”

OK, let’s consider what might be a related product for this particular software developer. How about back office software? That’s the software used by hotels to manage, not the guest’s check in / check out, but rather the “business end” of the hotel’s operation - staffing, accounts payable, cash flow, inventory levels, etc. The software developer’s planning team might well decide that any software related to the hospitality industry were a related product. Thus, everything else in the world - including software for any other application, were an unrelated product. Why such a narrow definition? Because the company’s managers have extensive experience in the hospitality industry. Any other application would thus be “foreign,” or outside of the firm’s core competency.

On the other hand, that same management team might instead decide that their firm possesses a critical skill in software development. Further, they might decide that development of software for any application would constitute a related product.

Which decision is correct? The answer to that question requires a deep exploration of the company’s core competencies. Thus the management team’s deep understanding of their business. And this in-depth exploration - and the management team’s arrival at such in-depth understanding - is exactly what should happen at any strategy session. And there lies the value of the Opportunity Grid in stimulating deep thought, deep discussion and deep understanding.

Another Example

Let’s consider another example - one of our clients, an insurance company, specializes in providing coverage for automobile rental agencies. The planning team might question whether providing insurance for automobile sales agencies were a related product. After all, it’s one more market in the automobile industry. But upon further discussion, the planning team might conclude that a “related” market would instead be a rental operation. The team might decide that the important factor in the related / unrelated decision is the rental aspect of the business rather than the automobile aspect of the business. Thus, rental of boats, airplanes and water skis would be related, while sales of automobiles would be unrelated.

Here’s How We Use the Opportunity Grid

During strategy sessions, we ask our clients to map their available opportunities on the Opportunity Grid. Some opportunities call for product or service development, but not market development. Clients would map such opportunities in either the related product / service or the unrelated product / service box along the top row on the model. Other opportunities call for market development, but not product or service development. Clients would map such opportunities in either the related market box or the unrelated market box along the left hand column on the model.

And then there are those opportunities which call for product / service development and also market development. Clients would map these opportunities diagonally down and to the right of the current / current box. These opportunities require that the company utilize its know-how and expend resources in both product / service development and also in market development.

The pursuit of such opportunities is more complex, thus more risky. Not that the company shouldn’t ever pursue such opportunities. At times, such might be the very best strategy. It’s simply that the management team should be aware of the added complexity, thus the added risk inherent in such strategies.

At times, though certainly not always, it’s possible for a company to move in one direction at a time, thus accomplish a diagonal movement in two steps. Thus, the firm can avoid the risk of simultaneous development in both product / service and also in marketing. As an example, let’s return to the company selling insurance to auto rental agencies. Let’s suppose that some of those auto rental agencies might also offer leases (as well as rentals) of automobiles. The insurance company might then develop a new policy specifically for automobile leases and offer that policy to its current rental / lease customers. The insurance company has thus moved to the right on the Opportunity Grid - selling a new product (probably a related product) to its current market. In fact, to a segment of its current customers.

After proving its new product in auto leasing, the insurance company might later - say in a year or two - offer the lease policy to boat leasing customers, or airplane leasing customers, or computer leasing customers. In each case, the insurance company would have moved vertically down into new markets (either related or unrelated).

There’s No Singular “Right Answer”

There isn't any one "right way" for a company to grow. No singular answer that says "develop products and services but not markets." No singular rule that states "don't dare move into unrelated markets." It depends on the firm's position in the marketplace. Its internal strengths and weaknesses. And its external opportunities and threats. Here, like everyplace else, there's no substitute for knowledge, experience, and managerial judgment.

Perhaps you and your management team have a half dozen opportunities worthy of consideration. If so, map them on the Opportunity Grid. Talk about each during your next strategy session. You’ll be pleased at the depth of your team’s discussion. And the resulting deeper understanding of your enterprise.
  

Article adapted from Bill Birnbaum's new book, Strategic Thinking: A Four Piece Puzzle

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